SUNDAY SLATE

MAIN CONTESTS:
$60,000 AUD on Draftstars ($15 entry, 100 max)
COMING SOON on Draftkings

 

CARLTON vs FREMANTLE

Marvel, 3.20pm AEDT

SINGLE SLATES:
$20,000 on Draftstars ($15 entry, 35 max)
WEATHER: Under the roof.
BOOKIES: Carlton $1.45 favourites, 166.5 over/under.

CBA’s & ROLES

Williams’ Carlton debut was littered with mistakes and 5 free kicks against, but he certainly passed the eye test and measured up in the CBA’s department with roughly 80% of his ground time spent in the guts. Martin also returned after a pre-season niggle and saw a few CBA cameos, which meant a few guys got whacked with the other end of the midfield stick. Ed Curnow slid over to a wing half the time as predicted based on their pre-season blueprint, while Zac Fisher (forward pocket) and Setterfield (wing, and struggling) copped the predictable drops. Cripps spent a bit of time forward and had a lot of half chances that he always managed not to take, and it’s since been revealed he’s playing sore and requiring injections. Not super encouraging for DFS. Fogarty (90 AF) continues to get the job done off a pure half forward role, but Murphy (59 AF) isn’t having the same success in the same position. Dow held his CBA numbers but might as well have been a witch’s hat in the small forward half of his role. Plowman had about 9 goals kicked on him but you wouldn’t know it based on his 10 marks and 87 AF as one of the cogs in the deep switch that the Pies allow.

Brayshaw was on Longmuir’s nice list this week, pumped full of extra CBA’s even before Nat Fyfe who was playing prominently forward – went down with concussion. Aish was a surprise inclusion in the inside core, most likely covering Fyfe’s missed rotation in the final quarter – but the fact that he beat the medical sub in Blakely to the CBA’s says a bit about where the latter sits in the pecking order. Darcy returned to the side as a key forward to give us our first look at the Meek/Darcy timeshare, which was 71/29 by centre bounces and 65/35 by total ruck contests. Mundy was best on ground by the length of Taberner’s forehead, which was highly impressive given his age and modest CBA numbers. Frederick (76 AF) continued his hot AAMI form in a high half forward gig, while Schultz (119) and Switkowski (97) upswung from forward pocket roles. Ryan (78 AF) played lockdown as predicted, but at least got involved in the kick-outs (5 freebies from 8 kick-ins) and the switches (10 marks) to save his score. Chapman (43 AF) was shaky on debut, while Giro kicked Acres (half forward) partly out of his cushy wing role and is worth tracking. 

TEAMSHEETS

Carlton: STAY TUNED FOR FINAL SQUADS
Notable outs: De Koning, C Curnow, McGovern, Marchbank, Silvagni*. 

Fremantle: STAY TUNED FOR FINAL SQUADS
Notable outs: Pearce, Hamling, Cox*, Lobb, Treacy*, Fyfe, Walters*, Tucker, Logue*. 

TRENDS

Carlton conceded the 2nd-least points to MID’s last year.
Carlton conceded the 4th-most points to Gen DEF’s last year.

Fremantle conceded the 2nd-least points to MID’s last year.

HISTORY

E Curnow – 126, 101, 84, 90 (tagged Fyfe)
Walsh – 119, 125
Cripps – 105, DNP, 102, 109
Docherty – 88
Murphy84, 114, 100 (midfield roles)

Serong 56 (tagged Cripps at stoppages)

 

GWS vs MELBOURNE

Manuka Oval, 6.10pm AEDT

SINGLE SLATES:
$25,000 on Draftstars ($15 entry, 40 max)
WEATHER: 21 degrees and mostly clear.
BOOKIES: Melbourne $1.59 favourites, 162.5 over/under.

CBA’s & ROLES

Tom Green’s dumping opened the door for Taranto to play a healthier M/F split, and he started like a madman before drifting out of the game as the margin ballooned. The other big mover was de Boer (+45%) who started across half forward as per usual, but was then sent to cool a red-hot Brayshaw in the second quarter. No wet weather footy meant Ward was cast aside into a wing rotation with Kelly (with Hopper taking the leftovers) and his scoring suffered. Perryman was a nominal wingman but played as the sweeper in a Whitfield-esque role, even earning 9 kick-ins along the way. Cumming’s floor is seeing a boost for the same reason, adding 9 freebies for his 91 AF as Fremantle peppered the goal-face all afternoon. Keeffe switched back into his preferred defensive post, leaving GWS with Sproule and Buckley as their talls in attack alongside Himmelberg – so yeah, Toby Greene (100 AF from 2.3) was basically doing it on his own up forward. Flynn (94 and 72) has exceeded all expectations as an untried rookie ruck, but faces a massive challenge in the form of the best tap ruckman in the comp on Easter Sunday.

Viney’s return was never going to be a straight swap with the injured Harmes, so he soaked up some of the CBA’s from Neal-Bullen and (disappointingly) Jordon on the way through. Less disappointing was Jordon’s ability to score with just the 6 CBA’s, pumping out a 105 AF on the back of 6 marks and 9 tackles in more of a wing gig – it’ll be interesting to see if that can continue moving forward. Brayshaw (wing) couldn’t crack the rotation at all with the Demons going heavy on Oliver, Petracca and Viney at the centre boucnes, so as I said last week, he’s hard to pick in DFS until he gets a look in on the inside. May (88 AF) underlined his standing as the preferred interceptor/distributor over Lever (32 AF) and his 86% kick-in rate will always keep his basement healthy. McDonald backed up his 110 with an 85 to prove that he’s a DFS option now that he’s regained his endurance and confidence. Pickett was electric whenever he was around the ball, kicking 2.2 and the CBA cameos can only be good for his scoring. Hunt bounced back from a putrid Round 1 effort with 80 AF, so maybe I threw the baby out with the bathwater on him. I really liked Salem’s (119 AF) role for DFS, skulking on the wings and picking up the cheap +6’s in switches. Gawn returned to form with a solid 108 AF, looking much more like himself in the second half with 100% game-time and 70 AF.

TEAMSHEETS

GWS: STAY TUNED FOR FINAL SQUADS
Notable outs: Preuss, Whitfield, Riccardi*, Finlayson, Hogan, Lloyd, Green*, Reid. 

Melbourne: STAY TUNED FOR FINAL SQUADS
Notable outs: Brown, Weideman, Harmes, Hibberd, Melksham*. 

TRENDS

GWS conceded the 2nd-least points to Key FWD’s last year.
GWS conceded the least points to MID’s last year.

Melbourne conceded the 2nd-most points to MID’s last year.
Melbourne conceded the least points to RUC’s last year.

HISTORY

Kelly – 120, 135, 67 (tagged by Harmes)
Taranto – 55, 130, 86
Tom Green – 108

Gawn – 129, 132, 120
Salem – 113, DNP, 104
Oliver – 111, 62, 98 (tagged by de Boer)
Petracca – 101, 83, 98
Langdon – 109

 

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