GEELONG vs HAWTHORN

MCG, 3.20pm AEDT

MAIN SLATES:
$60,000 AUD on Draftstars ($15 entry, 100 max)
COMING SOON on Draftkings
WEATHER: 18 degrees and partly cloudy
BOOKIES: Geelong $1.28 favourites, 170.5 over/under.

CBA’s & ROLES

Jake Kelly’s concussion left a big Dangerfield-sized hole in Geelong’s midfield, which was ultimately replaced by O’Connor (+85%) in a surprise tagging job on Lachie Neale. Constable was the expected beneficiary with a promotion from a Round 1 medical sub gig, but was handicapped massively by his 55% TOG. Parfitt’s 65% was equally frustrating with the pair chalky plays as part of a midfield missing Danger, Duncan and Menegola. Higgins had 12 CBA’s last week but was a pure forward in this one with O’Connor entering the midfield fray and bumping him out. The Cats went super heavy on defenders and ended up using Tuohy and Blicavs (chop out ruck) on the wings with Isaac Smith, leaving Jordan Clark in defence. All other roles as expected, with Atkins flourishing in his new half back role with 88 AF.

Predicting Shaun Burgoyne’s role is like trying to pick lotto numbers on the Gravitron, with Clarko this week sending him out on a Dusty tagging mission that resulted in a team-high 76% CBA share. That midfield time had to come from somewhere, so Shiels (-32%) and Breust (-15%) copped it the harshest, with O’Meara (-15%) and Mitchell (-20%) clipped up the top end. Phillips and Howe looked after the wings, with Shiels taking the overlap. The Hawks had a lot of footy in the back half and sure-footed defenders in Hardwick (135 AF, 15 marks) and Morrison (94 AF, 11 marks) took full advantage. Jiath (86 AF, 8 marks) scored well but made a lot of errors along the way, while Impey showed his trademark dash off half-back in longer spurts. Brockman and Moore were deep forwards but managed to get involved in a league-wide trend. McEvoy and Ceglar ran another 60-40 split but the Big Boy was nowhere near as influential with just 47 AF despite the easy match-up. Day’s day ended early with a fractured ankle, but thankfully he was replaced by Scrimshaw in an identical role as the medical sub. 

TEAMSHEETS

Geelong: STAY TUNED FOR FINAL SQUADS
Notable outs: Dangerfield, Duncan*, Menegola*, Cameron.

Hawthorn: STAY TUNED FOR FINAL SQUADS
Notable outs: Sicily, Wingard*, Gunston, Cousins, Scrimshaw, Day.

TRENDS

Geelong conceded the least points to Key DEF’s last year.
Geelong conceded the least points to Gen DEF’s last year.
Geelong conceded the least points to Key FWD’s last year.
Geelong conceded the 3rd-least points to Gen FWD’s last year.
Geelong conceded the 2nd-least points to Elite MID’s last year.

Hawthorn conceded the most points to Key DEF’s last year.
Hawthorn conceded the 2nd-most points to Key FWD’s last year.
Hawthorn conceded the 4th-most points to Gen FWD’s last year.
Hawthorn conceded the 3rd-most points to MID’s last year.

HISTORY

Selwood – 121, 97, 104
Duncan – 91, 105, 96
Stewart – 100, 92, 79
Guthrie73, 80, 98 (tagged Mitchell)

Mitchell – 88 (tagged by Guthrie)
Shiels – 46, 133, DNP (tagged Dangerfield)
Worpel – 88, 89, 101
McEvoy49, 97 113 (key backman in the 49, solo ruckman in the other two)

PLAYS

Coming Soon.

 

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